Chapecoense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GOI
3 - 1
CHA
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAL
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
FOR
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
CRZ
3 - 0
ATM
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
ATM
4 - 0
CSA
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |