CFZ Rio vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFZ Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CFZ
1 - 2
MES
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 0
CFZ
58%
23%
18%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CFZ
1 - 2
BON
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 4
CFZ
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ESE
1 - 1
CFZ
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
1 - 0
BAN
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
BON
0 - 0
DUQ
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
2 - 0
ESE
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
DUQ
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |