Liga Nacional Murcia round 3

CFS El Progreso Sub 19 vs Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19 analysis

CFS El Progreso Sub 19 Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
11 ELO 11
-3.2% Tilt 0.4%
11984º General ELO ranking 10531º
3935º Country ELO ranking 2690º
ELO win probability
39%
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
22.2%
Draw
38.8%
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.8%
Win probability
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
-29%
+34%
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19

Points and table prediction

CFS El Progreso Sub 19
Their league position
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
18º
13º
29
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
EF Torre Pacheco U19
52
81
77.5%
Pinatar Sub 19
48
74
51%
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
41
68
50%
Real Murcia U19 B
39
63
36%
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
36
59
27.5%
Cartagena FC U19
34
57
18%
CD Cieza U19
37
57
19%
UCAM Murcia U19 B
27
48
29.5%
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
29
47
25%
FC Cartagena B Sub 19
10º
27
44
10º
22.5%
Ranero Sub 19
11º
26
41
11º
15%
Lorca CFB Sub 19
13º
22
39
12º
12%
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
12º
24
38
13º
20%
EDMF Churra Sub 19
14º
19
34
14º
30%
Unión Molinense U19
15º
17
31
15º
23%
At. Pulpileño Sub 19
16º
16
27
16º
32%
Unión Archena U19
17º
15
23
17º
30.5%
CD Mediterráneo U19
18º
13
22
18º
40.5%
Expected probabilities
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
88% 100%
Relegation
12% 0%

ELO progression

CFS El Progreso Sub 19
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
Unión Molinense U19
Real Murcia U19 B
FC Cartagena B Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CFS El Progreso Sub 19
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2024
CIE
CD Cieza U19
5 - 2
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
PRO
74%
15%
11%
10 16 6 0
14 Sep. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
1 - 3
Pinatar Sub 19
PIN
34%
22%
44%
11 14 3 -1
01 Jun. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
1 - 3
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
FUT
57%
20%
23%
12 10 2 -1
25 May. 2024
PIN
Pinatar Sub 19
3 - 3
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
PRO
53%
21%
27%
12 13 1 0
19 May. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
6 - 1
Guadalupe U19
GUA
67%
17%
16%
12 6 6 0

Matches

Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
FUT
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
2 - 2
At. Pulpileño Sub 19
CLU
67%
17%
16%
12 7 5 0
14 Sep. 2024
EDM
EDMF Churra Sub 19
1 - 1
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
FUT
29%
22%
49%
12 8 4 0
01 Jun. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
1 - 3
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
FUT
57%
20%
23%
10 12 2 +2
25 May. 2024
FUT
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
1 - 3
Unión Molinense U19
EFM
52%
21%
27%
12 11 1 -2
19 May. 2024
BEN
Beniaján CF U19
1 - 1
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
FUT
29%
23%
48%
12 9 3 0