CF Villanovense vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ROD
2 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
VIL
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
SEV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SRQ
3 - 4
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
RJA
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
4 - 1
MEL
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |