Talavera de la Reina U19 vs AD Illescas Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+174%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
12º
1º
38
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 73 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 70 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 70 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 58 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 58 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 57 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 48 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 39 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 25 |
17º
|
44.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 16 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
62.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera de la Reina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EFU
0 - 0
CFT
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 4
CFT
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CFT
2 - 0
EFU
26%
23%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
CFT
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CFT
0 - 1
JES
42%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AD Illescas Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ADI
2 - 3
APU
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ADI
6 - 1
CDT
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
ADI
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ADI
2 - 3
CDG
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
EFF
0 - 0
ADI
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |