Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
CF Extremadura vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
EXT
1 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
CDZ
1 - 1
EXT
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
EXT
0 - 0
OLI
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
DBN
1 - 0
EXT
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
MOR
1 - 1
EXT
35%
29%
36%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
DBN
1 - 1
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
DBN
3 - 2
AZU
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
MON
1 - 0
DBN
33%
27%
40%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
DBN
1 - 0
EXT
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
DBN
2 - 1
CPC
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |