Tercera Division Murcia Jor. 8

CF Base Abarán vs Lorca FC analysis

CF Base Abarán Lorca FC
19 ELO 43
-13.6% Tilt -10.7%
29332º General ELO ranking 20291º
8506º Country ELO ranking 6131º
ELO win probability
13.4%
CF Base Abarán
20.6%
Draw
66%
Lorca FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
CF Base Abarán
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66%
Win probability
Lorca FC
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

CF Base Abarán
Lorca FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CF Base Abarán
CF Base Abarán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2011
MAR
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
4 - 1
CF Base Abarán
ABA
84%
11%
4%
20 39 19 0
02 Oct. 2011
CAR
FC Cartagena
1 - 0
CF Base Abarán
ABA
84%
11%
5%
20 59 39 0
28 Sep. 2011
ABA
CF Base Abarán
0 - 3
FC Cartagena
CAR
11%
21%
68%
20 60 40 0
25 Sep. 2011
ABA
CF Base Abarán
3 - 4
At. Pulpileño
PUL
28%
26%
46%
21 26 5 -1
18 Sep. 2011
UCA
UCAM Murcia
5 - 0
CF Base Abarán
ABA
77%
15%
8%
22 38 16 -1

Matches

Lorca FC
Lorca FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2011
LOR
Lorca FC
2 - 0
Pinatar
PIN
75%
16%
10%
42 25 17 0
25 Sep. 2011
MAR
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
2 - 0
Lorca FC
LOR
41%
25%
35%
44 37 7 -2
18 Sep. 2011
LOR
Lorca FC
4 - 0
Club Fortuna
FOR
82%
12%
5%
44 16 28 0
11 Sep. 2011
PUL
At. Pulpileño
0 - 3
Lorca FC
LOR
25%
25%
51%
43 29 14 +1
04 Sep. 2011
LOR
Lorca FC
3 - 0
Plus Ultra
PLU
77%
15%
8%
43 23 20 0
X