Independiente Ceutí vs CD Hoya del Campo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
+292%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 0
CEU
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 3
BUL
15%
18%
68%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
COT
3 - 1
CEU
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 3
HUR
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 4
CEU
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Hoya del Campo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BUL
1 - 1
CLU
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 1
CLU
65%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 0
CMU
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 2
CLU
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 2
JUM
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |