Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
7º
2º
36
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
4 - 0
JLM
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 0
FLU
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 3
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
OLI
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |