Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 0-3
Cerro Porteño vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 1
12O
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 1
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 1
CCP
23%
25%
51%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
FLU
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 0
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 4
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |