Cerro Porteño vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
CCP
0 - 0
UCO
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
OLI
5 - 1
CCP
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 0
CCP
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 1
OPE
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
COL
3 - 2
UCO
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1997 |
COL
0 - 1
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1997 |
SAO
3 - 1
COL
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 2
COL
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1997 |
IND
2 - 2
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |