Cerro Porteño vs CA Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
0 - 0
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
3 - 0
SBO
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1991 |
SBO
1 - 3
CCP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 1
CAC
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CA Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
CAC
2 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1991 |
CAC
4 - 1
SBO
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAC
67%
18%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
SBO
2 - 2
CAC
55%
21%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 1
CAC
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |