Cerro Porteño vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
RPA
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AME
2 - 1
CCP
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
4 - 2
2DE
75%
16%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 5
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OVE
38%
23%
40%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |