Cerro Largo vs Canadian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
4 - 0
CEL
56%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
ETS
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRO
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 0
CEN
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAN
51%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
CSC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
CAN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
CAN
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAN
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |