League Cup round 1

Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis

Cerezo Osaka Sagan Tosu
73 ELO 68
27.5% Tilt 6%
339º General ELO ranking 709º
10º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
60%
Cerezo Osaka
19.6%
Draw
20.4%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerezo Osaka
-11%
-18%
Sagan Tosu

ELO progression

Cerezo Osaka
Sagan Tosu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2012
FCT
FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
51%
25%
24%
73 77 4 0
16 Jun. 2012
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
50%
23%
27%
74 76 2 -1
09 Jun. 2012
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
1 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
46%
24%
29%
74 78 4 0
06 Jun. 2012
CER
Cerezo Osaka
3 - 2
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
33%
22%
45%
74 79 5 0
25 May. 2012
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
60%
22%
18%
73 80 7 +1

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2012
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
59%
23%
18%
69 77 8 0
16 Jun. 2012
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
22%
24%
54%
69 78 9 0
09 Jun. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
59%
21%
21%
70 75 5 -1
06 Jun. 2012
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
30%
25%
45%
70 75 5 0
25 May. 2012
GAM
Gamba Osaka
2 - 3
Sagan Tosu
SAG
68%
19%
13%
69 78 9 +1