Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 4
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VEG
1 - 0
CER
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
KAW
33%
22%
45%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 1
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 1
SAG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAW
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAG
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
URA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 3
SAG
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |