Céres vs Bela Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+577%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CGA
0 - 0
CER
73%
16%
10%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CER
6 - 1
QUE
44%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
PER
1 - 0
CER
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CER
0 - 3
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ADC
2 - 2
CER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bela Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
BVI
3 - 0
MES
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
BVI
77%
14%
8%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 5
CIG
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 6
CEC
12%
16%
72%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 1
BVI
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +1 |