United City vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CDR
2 - 0
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CER
1 - 3
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 0
CER
53%
21%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 0
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
CDR
45%
24%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
0 - 0
BAN
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CDR
1 - 1
MCI
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 1
CDR
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 0
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
MCI
19%
20%
61%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |