CCD Cerceda vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 1
CER
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CER
1 - 1
PON
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LEM
0 - 1
CER
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CER
1 - 1
LAL
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CER
3 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ARO
2 - 1
VER
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
ARO
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 0
BET
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 0
ARO
59%
23%
19%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 1
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |