Central SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
YPI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
SAL
29%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |