Pernambucano 1 1ª Fase round 6

Central SC vs Afogados analysis

Central SC Afogados
38 ELO 37
-21.2% Tilt -5.3%
5784º General ELO ranking 6500º
231º Country ELO ranking 274º
ELO win probability
43.8%
Central SC
26.6%
Draw
29.6%
Afogados

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
Central SC
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.6%
Win probability
Afogados
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Central SC
+7%
+7%
Afogados

ELO progression

Central SC
Afogados
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2021
CEN
Central SC
1 - 4
Retro FC
RFC
24%
23%
52%
41 46 5 0
28 Mar. 2021
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 0
Central SC
CEN
83%
12%
4%
41 67 26 0
24 Mar. 2021
CEN
Central SC
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
43%
27%
30%
41 40 1 0
20 Mar. 2021
CAM
Campinense
1 - 0
Central SC
CEN
40%
26%
35%
41 40 1 0
14 Mar. 2021
CEN
Central SC
0 - 0
Sete de Setembro
SSS
63%
22%
15%
42 27 15 -1

Matches

Afogados
Afogados
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2021
AFO
Afogados
0 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
9%
18%
73%
36 67 31 0
28 Mar. 2021
SSS
Sete de Setembro
1 - 1
Afogados
AFO
28%
25%
48%
36 28 8 0
13 Mar. 2021
AFO
Afogados
2 - 0
Vitória das Tabocas
ACA
66%
19%
15%
36 27 9 0
03 Mar. 2021
AFO
Afogados
1 - 1
Retro FC
RFC
28%
22%
50%
35 45 10 +1
25 Feb. 2021
SAL
Salgueiro
1 - 0
Afogados
AFO
63%
22%
15%
36 47 11 -1