Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
WPH
1 - 2
CCM
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CCM
2 - 1
PER
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CCM
1 - 1
GOL
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 0
CCM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
BRI
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WPH
1 - 2
MEL
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |