Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CCM
4 - 5
SYD
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
ADE
1 - 2
CCM
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 1
CCM
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 0
CCM
39%
29%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
PER
0 - 1
CCM
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 2
ADE
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |