A-League round 16

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne City analysis

Central Coast Mariners Melbourne City
63 ELO 75
8.4% Tilt 6.9%
777º General ELO ranking 924º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.8%
Central Coast Mariners
24.1%
Draw
52.2%
Melbourne City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
Central Coast Mariners
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.2%
Win probability
Melbourne City
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Central Coast Mariners
-3%
-2%
Melbourne City

ELO progression

Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2018
NEW
Newcastle Jets
2 - 0
Central Coast Mariners
CCM
58%
23%
20%
63 68 5 0
06 Jan. 2018
MEL
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Central Coast Mariners
CCM
63%
21%
16%
63 74 11 0
31 Dec. 2017
CCM
Central Coast Mariners
0 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
WPH
44%
25%
32%
63 64 1 0
26 Dec. 2017
ADE
Adelaide United
1 - 0
Central Coast Mariners
CCM
62%
22%
16%
63 73 10 0
16 Dec. 2017
CCM
Central Coast Mariners
0 - 2
Western Sydney Wanderers
WES
40%
26%
34%
64 69 5 -1

Matches

Melbourne City
Melbourne City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2018
PER
Perth Glory
0 - 2
Melbourne City
MCI
38%
25%
37%
75 70 5 0
06 Jan. 2018
MCI
Melbourne City
2 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
WPH
58%
23%
19%
74 64 10 +1
01 Jan. 2018
WES
Western Sydney Wanderers
2 - 1
Melbourne City
MCI
30%
25%
44%
75 69 6 -1
23 Dec. 2017
MCI
Melbourne City
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
MEL
46%
25%
29%
75 73 2 0
15 Dec. 2017
SYD
Sydney FC
3 - 1
Melbourne City
MCI
42%
25%
33%
76 77 1 -1