Primera Galicia Ascenso - Ourense Final
Global 5-4
Cented Academy vs SD Nogueira de Ramuín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cented Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
SEI
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 2
CEN
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CEN
3 - 2
RIB
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SCA
0 - 1
CEN
23%
20%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
4 - 0
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SD Nogueira de Ramuín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 3
SDN
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SDN
4 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RUA
1 - 5
SDN
7%
15%
78%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
SDN
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |