Celtic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
81%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
KIL
2 - 5
CEL
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
GRE
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
STJ
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 3
CEL
24%
25%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 2
FCB
6%
14%
80%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 1
RSO
90%
8%
3%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RAY
0 - 4
FCB
8%
15%
78%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
4 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 2
SEV
84%
10%
6%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | +2 |