Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-3
Celta vs Real Oviedo Vetusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ROB
2 - 2
CEL
20%
20%
60%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
BET
2 - 0
CEL
52%
21%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 1
CEL
63%
18%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
ROB
2 - 2
CEL
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 73 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
ROB
4 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
GIJ
4 - 5
ROB
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
ROB
2 - 2
GIM
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
SAN
2 - 2
ROB
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |