Celta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
OSA
1 - 0
CEL
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
CEL
2 - 0
GDE
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1977 |
ALA
1 - 0
CEL
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
SAB
2 - 1
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 2
REC
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
8%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
PUE
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
OSA
4 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |