Celje vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GOR
0 - 2
CEL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
CEL
3 - 1
LJU
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
GOR
1 - 3
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 3
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NKM
1 - 2
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
DRA
2 - 0
RUD
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
RUD
1 - 1
GOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
LJU
3 - 1
RUD
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
RUD
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RUD
1 - 1
NKM
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |