Celje vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NKP
1 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 3
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LJU
0 - 2
CEL
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
CEL
3 - 0
FCK
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 1
NKD
85%
10%
4%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
GOR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
BZR
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ZAG
0 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 3
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
BZR
1 - 2
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |