Celaya vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 1
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
CAÑ
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
UAT
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 3
MER
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 0
AUR
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
AUR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 5
PUE
34%
24%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |