Celaya vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 4
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
4 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
3 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 1
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
4 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 2
TIJ
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
QRO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |