Ceilândia vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
63.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
5 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 3
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
50%
23%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
SED
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
LON
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
LON
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
LON
4 - 2
CEU
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
LON
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
LON
1 - 3
COT
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |