Ceilândia vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
CEI
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
GAM
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
CEI
76%
16%
7%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 0
LON
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
CEI
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 2
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAP
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
BRA
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 3
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |