Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 2
FLI
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 2
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
ABE
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 4
CON
15%
24%
61%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
DTB
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |