Ceará vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SCI
1 - 0
CEA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 0
SPO
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
BAH
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 1
CEA
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ATM
5 - 2
FLU
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |