Ceará U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
CEA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 3
AME
47%
24%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 2
FLA
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
INT
1 - 0
CEA
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CEA
4 - 3
ATL
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
CON
2 - 3
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
32%
22%
47%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |