CBF Brasileiro U20 1ra Fase Jor. 1

Ceará U20 vs Palmeiras U20 analysis

Ceará U20 Palmeiras U20
37 ELO 51
2.1% Tilt -8.7%
6370º General ELO ranking 3189º
274º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
24.5%
Ceará U20
24%
Draw
51.5%
Palmeiras U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
Ceará U20
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.5%
Win probability
Palmeiras U20
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará U20
-17%
+5%
Palmeiras U20

ELO progression

Ceará U20
Palmeiras U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará U20
Ceará U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
CEA
Ceará U20
1 - 1
São Paulo U20
SAO
35%
22%
43%
37 39 2 0
08 Jan. 2024
LEM
Lemense U20
0 - 3
Ceará U20
CEA
5%
15%
80%
37 5 32 0
05 Jan. 2024
GAM
Gama U20
2 - 4
Ceará U20
CEA
13%
17%
70%
37 8 29 0
02 Jan. 2024
CEA
Ceará U20
1 - 0
Rondoniense SC U20
RSC
78%
14%
8%
37 7 30 0
04 May. 2023
INT
Internacional U20
3 - 3
Ceará U20
CEA
67%
20%
13%
36 47 11 +1

Matches

Palmeiras U20
Palmeiras U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2024
ABR
Aster Brasil U20
1 - 0
Palmeiras U20
PAL
7%
13%
81%
53 11 42 0
13 Jan. 2024
PAL
Palmeiras U20
3 - 1
Sport Recife U20
SPO
74%
16%
11%
52 33 19 +1
10 Jan. 2024
OFC
Oeste U20
1 - 4
Palmeiras U20
PAL
4%
13%
82%
52 9 43 0
08 Jan. 2024
ABC
União ABC U20
0 - 4
Palmeiras U20
PAL
7%
13%
81%
52 5 47 0
04 Jan. 2024
PAL
Palmeiras U20
7 - 0
Queimadense U20
QUE
83%
12%
6%
52 7 45 0
X