Ceará Sub 23 vs Paraná Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CRB
0 - 3
CEA
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLU
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
CEA
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
3 - 2
JUV
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
CEA
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAY
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
PAR
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
AVA
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |