Mercantil Sub 19 vs Barcelona U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
71.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
16º
13º
47
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 14 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 65% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 35% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
44% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
RCZ
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RCD
4 - 0
CEM
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 0
CEM
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CEM
1 - 1
GIM
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
3 - 1
CEM
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 1
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
BYM
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
MAN
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
5 - 2
ZAR
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 2
YOB
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |