CE Europa vs FE Grama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
2º
1º
36
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
EUR
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EUR
2 - 0
GIR
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
EUR
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 1
EUR
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 1
EUR
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FE Grama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
HOS
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RCD
3 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
GRA
42%
28%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |