CE Europa vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
18º
3º
25
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 64 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 58 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 55 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 53 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 50 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 48 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 47 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 43 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 43 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 42 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 35 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 34 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 32 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 21 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
60.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
EUR
4 - 6
UES
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 0
EUR
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
EUR
1 - 2
UDL
17%
22%
62%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EUR
2 - 0
OLO
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
EUR
9%
17%
74%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 0
MLL
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 3
ATB
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ELC
54%
26%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 1
UES
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 0
OLO
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |