Cruz Azul vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
22%
28%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 2
PUM
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LDA
1 - 1
CAZ
31%
27%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 0
WES
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
WES
0 - 1
BRI
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WES
1 - 1
SYD
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WES
1 - 1
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
WES
0 - 0
CCM
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |