Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SNL
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAZ
33%
24%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAC
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
JAG
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
QRO
1 - 0
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |