Villalpando vs Morales Vino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalpando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
FRE
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIL
10 - 0
BVD
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 4
COR
32%
21%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
MOR
24%
19%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDN
5 - 0
VIL
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morales Vino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 2
IVL
46%
20%
34%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 3
FRE
25%
20%
55%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BVD
3 - 1
MOR
40%
21%
39%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
COR
7%
13%
81%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
6 - 3
MOR
83%
11%
7%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |