Valdehornillo vs Alcuescar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdehornillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TRU
3 - 3
VAL
42%
23%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
MIA
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 1
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 1
VAL
46%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
CSF
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Alcuescar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
LHA
21%
20%
59%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CSF
2 - 0
ALC
81%
12%
7%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
MET
14%
17%
69%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 2
ALC
45%
21%
34%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAD
4 - 0
ALC
45%
22%
33%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |