Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-3
CD Toledo vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LEG
2 - 1
CDT
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CDT
0 - 0
COL
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 2
CDT
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CDT
0 - 0
SDA
85%
9%
5%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MLL
1 - 2
CDB
73%
19%
9%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 0
POR
60%
26%
14%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 2
ALG
57%
27%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
XER
0 - 0
CDB
70%
19%
10%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CDB
3 - 1
LLE
52%
28%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |