CD Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
12º
7º
15
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 30 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 29 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 20 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 19 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 15 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 14 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 13 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 11 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
78.5% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
ORS
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TEM
1 - 0
CDT
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
DOR
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ALE
1 - 3
CDT
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 0
CDT
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 1
TAM
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TIA
3 - 3
ZAC
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CFC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 0
UDG
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 1
ZAC
24%
24%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |