La Serena vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 2
DLS
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 0
DLS
19%
22%
59%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
DLS
0 - 1
MAG
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DLS
4 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 1
DLS
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
USF
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USF
0 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
NUB
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
USF
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |