Sariegos del Bernesga vs Peñaranda Bracamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariegos del Bernesga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MED
2 - 5
SBE
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SBE
2 - 1
BEN
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 3
SBE
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SBE
1 - 1
ZAM
67%
16%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDO
1 - 0
SBE
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peñaranda Bracamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 0
BET
32%
25%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
UNI
22%
23%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MED
3 - 1
PEN
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
BEN
63%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RIB
2 - 0
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |