CD Rivera vs Castellar UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Rivera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JER
4 - 1
CDR
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 2
ATH
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UDT
2 - 3
CDR
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 0
UDB
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
CDR
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castellar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRE
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 0
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
ATL
13%
20%
68%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +3 |